Asia’s Rapidly Shrinking Glaciers Could Fuel Future Conflicts


The glaciers in Asia’s Tian Shan mountains have lost more than a quarter of their total mass over the past 50 years — a rate of loss about four times greater than the global average during that time, new research shows.

By 2050, half of the remaining ice in the Tian Shan (also spelled Tien Shan) glaciers could be lost, and these shrinking glaciers could reduce valuable water supplies in central Asia and lead to fuel conflicts there, the study found.

The Tian Shan mountain range stretches across 1,550 miles (2,500 kilometers) of central Asia. Melting snow and glaciers from these mountains supply much-needed water to the lowlands of Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan, which form one of the world’s largest irrigated zones. The melt also supplies water to China’s northwestern Xinjiang Uyghur autonomous region, whose coal, oil and natural-gas reserves are critical to the country’s economic growth. [See Photos of the World's 10 Tallest Mountains]

“If water resources really will decline there in the future, there is a big potential for conflicts,” said the study’s lead author, Daniel Farinotti, a glaciologist at the German Research Center for Geosciences and the Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research.

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Asia’s Rapidly Shrinking Glaciers Could Fuel Future Conflicts